Bacterial colonisation of the airway in neonates and risk of asthma and allergy until age 18 years

BACKGROUND: We previously showed an association between neonatal bacterial airway colonisation and increased risk of persistent wheeze/asthma until age 5 years. Here, we study the association with persistent wheeze/asthma and allergy-related traits until age 18 years. METHODS: We investigated the association between airway colonisation with Streptococcus pneumoniae, Moraxella catarrhalis and/or Haemophilus influenzae in 1-month-old neonates from the COPSAC2000 mother-child cohort and the development of persistent wheeze/asthma and allergy-related traits longitudinally until age 18 years using generalised estimating equations. Replication was sought in the similarly designed COPSAC2010 cohort of 700 children. RESULTS: Neonatal airway colonisation was present in 66 (21%) out of 319 children and was associated with a 4-fold increased risk of persistent wheeze/asthma (adjusted OR 4.01 (95% CI 1.76-9.12); p<0.001) until age 7 years, but not from age 7 to 18 years. Replication in the COPSAC2010 cohort showed similar results using 16S data. Colonisation was associated with an increased number of exacerbations (adjusted incidence rate ratio 3.20 (95% CI 1.38-7.44); p<0.01) until age 7 years, but not from age 7 to 18 years. Colonisation was associated with increased levels of blood eosinophils (adjusted geometric mean ratio 1.24 (95% CI 1.06-1.44); p<0.01) and tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α (adjusted geometric mean ratio 1.09 (95% CI 1.02-1.16); p=0.01) until age 12 years. There were no associations with lung function, bronchial reactivity, fractional exhaled nitric oxide, allergic sensitisation, total IgE or atopic dermatitis up to age 18 years. CONCLUSIONS: Neonatal airway colonisation was associated with early-onset persistent wheeze/asthma, exacerbations, elevated blood eosinophils and elevated TNF-α in blood, most prominent in early childhood, thereafter diminishing and no longer evident by age 18 years.