TY - JOUR
T1 - Spectral tail processes and max-stable approximations of multivariate regularly varying time series
AU - Janßen, Anja
PY - 2019
Y1 - 2019
N2 - A regularly varying time series as introduced in Basrak and Segers (2009) is a (multivariate) time series such that all finite dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. The extremal behavior of such a process can then be described by the index of regular variation and the so-called spectral tail process, which is the limiting distribution of the rescaled process, given an extreme event at time 0. As shown in Basrak and Segers (2009), the stationarity of the underlying time series implies a certain structure of the spectral tail process, informally known as the "time change formula". In this article, we show that on the other hand, every process which satisfies this property is in fact the spectral tail process of an underlying stationary max-stable process. The spectral tail process and the corresponding max-stable process then provide two complementary views on the extremal behavior of a multivariate regularly varying stationary time series.
AB - A regularly varying time series as introduced in Basrak and Segers (2009) is a (multivariate) time series such that all finite dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. The extremal behavior of such a process can then be described by the index of regular variation and the so-called spectral tail process, which is the limiting distribution of the rescaled process, given an extreme event at time 0. As shown in Basrak and Segers (2009), the stationarity of the underlying time series implies a certain structure of the spectral tail process, informally known as the "time change formula". In this article, we show that on the other hand, every process which satisfies this property is in fact the spectral tail process of an underlying stationary max-stable process. The spectral tail process and the corresponding max-stable process then provide two complementary views on the extremal behavior of a multivariate regularly varying stationary time series.
KW - Max-stable processes
KW - Regularly varying time series
KW - Spectral tail process
KW - Stationary processes
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85050103216&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.spa.2018.06.010
DO - 10.1016/j.spa.2018.06.010
M3 - Journal article
VL - 129
SP - 1993
EP - 2009
JO - Stochastic Processes and their Applications
JF - Stochastic Processes and their Applications
SN - 0304-4149
IS - 6
ER -