Clinical cardiovascular phenotypes and the pattern of future events in patients with type 2 diabetes

Mariam Elmegaard Malik*, Charlotte Andersson, Paul Blanche, Maria D'Souza, Christian Madelaire, Bochra Zareini, Morten Lamberts, Soren Lund Kristensen, Naveed Sattar, John McMurray, Lars Køber, Christian Torp-Pedersen, Gunnar Gislason, Morten Schou

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Importance Updated guidelines on diabetes recommend targeting sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) at patients at risk of heart failure (HF) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) at those at greater risk of atherothrombotic events.

Objective We estimated the risk of different cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and newly established cardiovascular disease.

Design, setting and participants Patients with T2D and newly established cardiovascular disease from 1998 to 2016 were identified using Danish healthcare registers and divided into one of four phenotype groups: (1) HF, (2) ischemic heart disease (IHD), (3) transient ischemic stroke (TIA)/ischemic stroke, and (4) peripheral artery disease (PAD). The absolute 5-year risk of the first HF- or atherothrombotic event occurring after inclusion was calculated, along with the risk of death.

Main outcomes and measures The main outcome was the first event of either HF or an atherothrombotic event (IHD, TIA/ischemic stroke or PAD) in patients with T2D and new-onset cardiovascular disease.

Results Of the 37,850 patients included, 40% were female and the median age was 70 years. Patients with HF were at higher 5-year risk of a subsequent HF event (17.9%; 95% confidence interval (CI) 17.1-18.8%) than an atherothrombotic event (15.8%; 15.0-16.6%). Patients with IHD were at higher risk of a subsequent atherothrombotic event (24.6%; 23.9-25.3%) than developing HF, although the risk of HF was still substantial (10.6%; 10.2-11.1%). Conversely, patients with PAD were at low risk of developing HF (4.4%; 3.8-5.1%) but at high risk of developing an atherothrombotic event (15.9%; 14.9-17.1%). Patients with TIA/ischemic stroke had the lowest risk of HF (3.2%; 2.9-3.6%) and the highest risk of an atherothrombotic event (20.6%; 19.8-21.4).

Conclusions In T2D, a patient's cardiovascular phenotype can help predict the pattern of future cardiovascular events.

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Original languageEnglish
JournalClinical Research in Cardiology
Volume112
Pages (from-to)215-226
Number of pages12
ISSN1861-0684
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Keywords

  • Heart failure
  • Cardiovascular disease
  • Type 2 diabetes
  • Epidemiology
  • CIVIL REGISTRATION SYSTEM
  • HEART-FAILURE DIAGNOSIS
  • MYOCARDIAL-INFARCTION
  • ISCHEMIC-STROKE
  • RISK
  • MORTALITY
  • LIRAGLUTIDE
  • OUTCOMES
  • THERAPY
  • DISEASE

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