PET imaging of meningioma with 18F-FLT: A predictor of tumour progression

We have previously reported that PET with 30-deoxy-30-18F-fluorothymidine (18F-FLT) provides a non-invasive assessment of cell proliferation in vivo in meningiomas. The purpose of this prospective study was to evaluate the potential of 18F-FLT PET in predicting subsequent tumour progression in asymptomatic meningiomas. Forty-three adult patients harbouring 46 MRI-presumed (n = 40) and residual meningiomas from previous surgery (n = 6) underwent a 60-min dynamic 18F-FLT PET scan prior to radiological surveillance. Maximum and mean tumour-to-blood ratios (TBRmax, TBRmean) of tracer radioactivity were calculated. Tumour progression was defined according to the latest published trial end-point criteria for bidimensional (2D) and corresponding yet exploratory volumetric measurements from the Response Assessment of Neuro-Oncology (RANO) workgroup. Independent-sample t-test, Pearson correlation coefficient, Cox regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used whenever appropriate. The median follow-up time after 18F-FLT PET imaging was 18 months (range 5-33.5 months). A high concordance rate (91%) was found with regard to disease progression using 2D-RANO (n = 11) versus volumetric criteria (n = 10). Using 2D-RANO criteria, 18F-FLT uptake was significantly increased in patients with progressive disease, compared to patients with stable disease (TBRmax, 5.5 ± 1.3 versus 3.6 ± 1.1, P50.0001; TBRmean, 3.5 ± 0.8 versus 2.4 ± 0.7, P50.0001). ROC analysis yielded optimal thresholds of 4.4 for TBRmax [sensitivity 82%, specificity 77%, accuracy 78%, and area under curve (AUC) 0.871; P50.0001] and 2.8 for TBRmean (sensitivity 82%, specificity 77%, accuracy 78%, AUC 0.848; P = 0.001) for early differentiation of patients with progressive disease from patients with stable disease. Upon excluding patients with residual meningioma or patients with stable disease with less than 12 months follow-up, the thresholds remained unchanged with similar diagnostic accuracies. Moreover, positive correlations were found between absolute and relative tumour growth rates and 18F-FLT uptake (r50.513, P50.015) that remained similar when excluding patients with residual meningioma or patients with stable disease and shorter follow-up period. Diagnostic accuracies were slightly inferior at 76% when assessing disease progression using volumetric criteria, while the thresholds remained unchanged. Multivariate analysis revealed that TBRmax was the only independent predictor of tumour progression (P50.046), while age, gender, baseline tumour size, tumour location, peritumoural oedema, and residual meningioma had no influence. The study reveals that 18F-FLT PET is a promising surrogate imaging biomarker for predicting subsequent tumour progression in treatment-naý¨ve and asymptomatic residual meningiomas.