Population-level impact, herd immunity, and elimination after human papillomavirus vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictions from transmission-dynamic models

Marc Brisson, Élodie Bénard, Mélanie Drolet, Johannes A Bogaards, Iacopo Baussano, Simopekka Vänskä, Mark Jit, Marie-Claude Boily, Megan A Smith, Johannes Berkhof, Karen Canfell, Harrell W Chesson, Emily A Burger, Yoon H Choi, Birgitte Freiesleben De Blasio, Sake J De Vlas, Giorgio Guzzetta, Jan A C Hontelez, Johannes Horn, Martin Rudbeck JepsenJane J Kim, Fulvio Lazzarato, Suzette M Matthijsse, Rafael Mikolajczyk, Andrew Pavelyev, Matthew Pillsbury, Leigh Anne Shafer, Stephen P Tully, Hugo C Turner, Cara Usher, Cathal Walsh

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

    210 Citations (Scopus)
    153 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    BackgroundModelling studies have been widely used to inform human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination policy decisions; however, many models exist and it is not known whether they produce consistent predictions of population-level effectiveness and herd effects. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of model predictions of the long-term population-level effectiveness of vaccination against HPV 16, 18, 6, and 11 infection in women and men, to examine the variability in predicted herd effects, incremental benefit of vaccinating boys, and potential for HPV-vaccine-type elimination.
    Original languageEnglish
    JournalThe Lancet Public Health
    Volume1
    Issue number1
    Pages (from-to)e8-e17
    Number of pages10
    ISSN2468-2667
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2016

    Bibliographical note

    doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(16)30001-9

    Cite this