What Influences Fertility Plans of China’s Migrant Populations? Mechanism Analysis Based on House Prices Perspective

Jingwen Tan*, Shixi Kang, He Shi, Qi Zhang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingBook chapterResearchpeer-review

Abstract

The demographic imbalance brought about by China's low fertility rate in recent years is a matter of concern. This paper uses data from the 2018 China Migrants Dynamic Survey to estimate the impact of house price on the fertility plan of the migrants. After using instrumental variable and propensity score matching to mitigate potential endogeneity problems, the results show that the higher house price in the inflow cities, the less likelihood female migrants have fertility plan; if the housing pressure of the migrants is low, their fertility plan is less affected by house price. The sensitivity of the migrants' fertility plan to house price is also influenced by the infrastructure development in the inflow city. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the fertility plan of female migrants with larger family size, higher education level, and younger age is more sensitive to house price. This paper fills the gap in the impact of house price on the fertility of migrants group and analyzed the mechanism of the impact of house price on the fertility plan.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationComplexity Thinking and China’s Demography within and beyond Mainland China : A Geopolitical Overview
Number of pages12
PublisherSpringer Nature
Publication date2024
Pages193-214
Chapter8
ISBN (Print)9789819701711
ISBN (Electronic)9789819701728
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2024.

Cite this